In books, movies, and TV shows, we have this common trope:
The protagonist, faced with overwhelming odds, gets an idea. It's something unusual that couldn't possibly work and his friends try to dissuade him. "It's doomed to failure," they plead. "You can't do X!" The protagonist then doubles down and says, "Not true! We're going to do X. In fact, we're going to do X three times as hard as I originally said." Reluctantly, everyone says, "Well, we've got no other solutions, and this is so crazy, it just might work." And to everyone's shock, it does work! We win! Roll credits.
An example of this is David and Goliath. (Stick with me--this is going somewhere.) The Philistines have an overwhelming force, so to save time, they allow the giant Goliath to challenge one Israelite to single combat, winner take all. The Israelites don't like the idea--no one could defeat such a huge warrior--but David, a young boy, says, "No! We're going to accept the terms. And the warrior we send will be ME." "Whaaaaa?" says the tribe. "That'll never work." "It will!" says David. Then he doubles down with, "And also I'm not going to wear armor or carry a sword." "Well," says the tribe, "no one could win, so we may as well let a little kid get killed rather than lose an adult warrior." So David faces Goliath, looses a stone from his sling, and to everyone's shock, kills Goliath with a single blow to the head. We win!
This makes for a good story, but it's rotten in reality. In the real world, the impossible solution is just that--impossible. No amount of crazy planning will pull off the impossible.
Donald Trump, however, lives in TV land.
I think he's spent so much time in Hollywood that he honestly believes this trope will work in real life. The wilder and more improbable the plan is, the more likely it'll succeed. Look at how he operates:
--He wanted to build a wall across the entire US border with Mexico. He was told there just isn't enough money for that. No one would pay for it. "No!" he said craftily. "Mexico itself will pay for the wall!" "Impossible!" everyone replied. "It'll never work!" "In fact," Trump said, doubling down, "I'll DEMAND that Mexico pays for the wall!"
--He wanted to take over the entire country with ICE as his personal army. "We're going to take the country with my troops," he said. "We can't do that," said his aides. "We don't have the manpower for it. America is huge, you know." "No!" he replied, doubling down. "We're going to FLOOD the country with ICE agents and everyone will be cowed into doing anything I say!"
--He wanted to steal the election. "I'll make the country keep me as president." "It can't be done, sir. You lost, and that's all there is to it," they said. He said, "I'll whip up my followers." "It won't work, sir." So he doubled down: "In fact, I'll whip them up so much that they'll riot and take the entire country for me! I won't have to lift a finger!"
--He wanted to take over Iran. "Sir, we don't have the military firepower right now. We're spread too thin. And gas prices will skyrocket, and everyone hates that." "Oh yeah? Well, we're going to bomb the hell out of Iran and give it all we have in one shot that'll obliterate the government." "Sir, there's just no way that'll happen. We can't do it." "Oh YEAH?" he repeated, doubling down. "Watch---we're going to hit them really, really hard and then ... then the Iranians themselves will rise up and finish the job."
--He wanted to steal billions from the country. "I'll sue for it," he said. "You can't sue over nothing, sir." "Yeah? Watch this--I'll sue for defamation!" "Sir, you haven't been defamed." "AND," he said, "I'll sue the IRS, which I'm the head of anyway. I'll sue ... MYSELF!"
To all of these, add, "It's so crazy, it just might work."
None of these, or a dozens of other double-down schemes, worked, but he keeps trying them, like a screenwriter who can't think of a new ending. He goes with the crazy plan because it always works in the movies, and I think he's shocked when it turns out that movie plans don't work in real life. He yells at his aides. He breaks dishes. He throws ketchup.
And then he tries another stupid plan. Because he's so crazy, it just might work.